Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 102.394308 116.750633 133.141396 153.402772 178.002504 207.197386 244.916014
2025-05-04 81.311590 99.130989 121.450972 152.053508 193.892568 250.621414 336.205377
2025-05-11 70.501049 89.799613 115.516692 153.420447 209.948247 294.917250 440.689096
2025-05-18 61.968389 81.483977 108.706152 151.097354 218.805310 329.604474 542.254867
2025-05-25 56.513350 76.379054 105.217490 152.392878 232.665214 375.174412 681.536289
2025-06-01 51.789877 71.596082 101.319381 152.023831 243.210911 417.499183 835.014450
2025-06-08 47.521952 66.934691 96.885513 149.829350 249.736999 453.772319 995.048685
2025-06-15 45.473110 65.395334 97.103584 155.483602 272.038218 529.956969 1309.477134
2025-06-22 41.486824 60.390773 91.033341 148.838677 268.276689 546.218768 1461.689759
2025-06-29 39.007888 57.579996 88.328099 148.007064 276.465372 594.362232 1763.107618
2025-07-06 36.912072 55.204020 86.098918 147.717418 285.742174 649.014059 2148.780787
2025-07-13 35.971862 54.664899 87.022198 153.787400 311.127539 760.184148 2941.349294
2025-07-20 35.400776 54.867840 89.609838 164.446044 352.834351 952.979883 4665.422989
2025-07-27 33.310835 52.256661 86.712874 162.967197 363.258073 1050.183942 6130.459091
2025-08-03 31.787796 50.513707 85.266086 164.466966 382.526370 1196.512721 8732.383379
2025-08-10 29.992695 48.123700 82.289528 161.918398 389.335874 1298.183652 11563.467493
2025-08-17 28.767791 46.683877 81.057442 163.339512 409.019959 1478.723388 17427.948513
2025-08-24 27.481311 45.026142 79.207263 162.934650 422.887716 1646.676147 25942.976768
2025-08-31 26.130255 43.147689 76.718748 160.527841 429.390301 1783.654443 37365.455757
2025-09-07 25.609903 42.823842 77.478769 166.731390 469.174697 2183.270537 83111.191020
2025-09-14 24.055866 40.380038 73.448831 159.441675 455.902642 2201.910795 105594.152163
2025-09-21 23.108573 39.075740 71.809522 158.530075 467.724760 2434.401439 199844.743705
2025-09-28 22.273841 37.941993 70.450115 158.212609 482.141613 2718.751028 463374.026029